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πŸ“‰ The Great Reset πŸ“ˆ

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Alfen


Can this company survive a downturn?

How efficiently does it turn assets into profit?

Is the business becoming more valuable over time?

1.1. Financial Health of Alfen (5 min.)




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Key Takeaways

What matters most right now.

⚠️ Revenue growth

Revenue fell -3.3% last quarter to $0.5B. This is below the company’s recent pace and should be watched against its longer-term growth trend.

⚠️ Profitability

Net profit margin fell to -5.5% this quarter, below its 5-year average of 5.5%. This suggests short-term pressure, but the long-term profitability profile remains the key reference.

⚠️ Cash generation

Free cash flow jumped to $0.0B this quarter, far above its normal 5-year margin of 2.7%. This suggests a one-off boost rather than a new baseline.

βž– Financial resilience

The company has a current ratio of 1.68, compared to a 5-year average of 1.48. This shows how well it can cover short-term obligations if conditions worsen.

⚠️ Debt levels

Debt relative to equity is 1.38, compared to a 5-year average of 1.14. This shows whether leverage is increasing or staying disciplined.

⚠️ Capital efficiency

Return on equity is -17.7%, compared to a 5-year average of 14.5%. This shows how effectively management turns shareholder capital into profit.

Why this matters

The facts behind the takeaways.

⚠️ How much profit the business keeps

The company keeps -6.3% profit from its sales. Over the past 5 years, this was about 7.5%.

βž– How much cash the business generates

About 8.6% of sales turns into real cash. Historically, this was closer to 2.7%.

βž– Ability to pay short-term bills

The company’s short-term financial buffer is 1.68, compared to 1.48 historically.

⚠️ Debt pressure

Debt levels are 1.38 today, compared to 1.14 over the last 5 years.

What to watch next

Focus points for the next quarters.

βž– Next earnings

Watch whether revenue growth translates into sustained margin improvement next quarter.

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Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2021-01-012022-01-012023-01-012024-01-012025-01-01
Net Income 11,9879,46321,45031,59753,047-23,36329,684-56,698-27,014
Operating Margin  0.0920.0190.1110.0430.154-0.0710.083-0.146-0.063
Net Profit Margin  0.0630.0220.0860.0350.121-0.0620.059-0.114-0.055
Return On Assets  0.0820.0290.1100.0550.165-0.0900.075-0.149-0.074
Return On Equity  0.1610.0610.2230.1300.352-0.1870.165-0.343-0.177

Balance Sheet

Showing financial position from 2020-01-01 to 2025-01-01.

 2025-01-012024-01-012023-01-012022-01-012021-01-012020-01-01
Assets
   TotalπŸ”’ Member395,969321,074194,184146,552πŸ”’ Member
   Current
      TotalπŸ”’ Member314,50122,841151,065108,746πŸ”’ Member
      CashπŸ”’ Member2,07322,84147,27752,344πŸ”’ Member
      Cash EquivalentsπŸ”’ Member6,402000πŸ”’ Member
      Short Term InvestmentsπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Accounts ReceivableπŸ”’ Member135,935107,68662,19736,414πŸ”’ Member
      Inventory
         TotalπŸ”’ Member150,776131,81541,58219,988πŸ”’ Member
         Inventory Finished GoodsπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
         Inventory Raw MaterialsπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
         Inventory PartsπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
         Inventory WIPπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Prepaid ExpensesπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Noncurrent
      Property Plant And EquipmentπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Intangible AssetsπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      GoodwillπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Right Of Use AssetsπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Long Term InvestmentsπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Deferred Tax AssetsπŸ”’ Member00011πŸ”’ Member
      Other AssetsπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      TotalπŸ”’ Member00011πŸ”’ Member
Liabilities
   TotalπŸ”’ Member216,356170,49197,86572,324πŸ”’ Member
   Current
      TotalπŸ”’ Member190,703151,90979,94953,894πŸ”’ Member
      Accounts PayableπŸ”’ Member148,567136,07771,38445,619πŸ”’ Member
      Accrued LiabilitiesπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Short Term DebtπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Deferred RevenueπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Lease LiabilitiesπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Other Current LiabilitiesπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Noncurrent
      Long Term DebtπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Lease LiabilitiesπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Operating Lease LiabilitiesπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Deferred RevenueπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Deferred Tax LiabilitiesπŸ”’ Member7,0965,7424,2212,921πŸ”’ Member
      TotalπŸ”’ Member25,65318,58217,91618,430πŸ”’ Member
Equity
   TotalπŸ”’ Member179,613150,58396,31974,228πŸ”’ Member
   Common StockπŸ”’ Member2,1752,1752,1752,175πŸ”’ Member
   Preferred StockπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Additional Paid In CapitalπŸ”’ Member48,94350,65150,42950,429πŸ”’ Member
   Retained EarningsπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive IncomeπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Treasury StockπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Minority InterestπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Temporary EquityπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member

Income Statement

Performance overview from 2020-01-01 to 2025-01-01.

 2025-01-012024-01-012023-01-012022-01-012021-01-012020-01-01
Revenue
   TotalπŸ”’ Member504,477439,876249,679189,010πŸ”’ Member
   Segments
      Segment1πŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Segment2πŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Segment3πŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
Cost Of Revenue
   TotalπŸ”’ Member324,477262,957148,594111,066πŸ”’ Member
Gross ProfitπŸ”’ Member180,000176,919101,08577,944πŸ”’ Member
Operating Expenses
   TotalπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Research And DevelopmentπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Selling General And AdministrativeπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Stock Based CompensationπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Allocated Stock Based CompensationπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Impairment ChargesπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Restructuring ChargesπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Other Operating ExpensesπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
Operating IncomeπŸ”’ Member41,85967,74627,69017,351πŸ”’ Member
Non Operating
   Interest IncomeπŸ”’ Member21345πŸ”’ Member
   Interest ExpenseπŸ”’ Member3,398976996778πŸ”’ Member
   Gain On Asset SalesπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Other Non Operating IncomeπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
Income Before TaxπŸ”’ Member38,48266,77326,69816,578πŸ”’ Member
Income TaxπŸ”’ Member8,79813,7265,2484,591πŸ”’ Member
Net IncomeπŸ”’ Member29,68453,04721,45011,987πŸ”’ Member

Cash Flow Statement

Operational cash dynamics from 2020-01-01 to 2025-01-01.

 2025-01-012024-01-012023-01-012022-01-012021-01-012020-01-01
Operating Activities
   Net IncomeπŸ”’ Member29,68453,04721,45011,987πŸ”’ Member
   Adjustments
      Depreciation And AmortizationπŸ”’ Member5,6193,8833,4082,614πŸ”’ Member
      Stock Based CompensationπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      ImpairmentsπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Deferred TaxesπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Gain On Asset SalesπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
      Change In Working CapitalπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Cash From OperationsπŸ”’ Member5,63742910,53820,111πŸ”’ Member
Investing Activities
   Cash From InvestingπŸ”’ Member-59,103-21,025-11,682-9,617πŸ”’ Member
   Capital ExpendituresπŸ”’ Member23,99211,4574,0284,625πŸ”’ Member
   AcquisitionsπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Purchase Of InvestmentsπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Sale Of InvestmentsπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
Financing Activities
   Cash From FinancingπŸ”’ Member26,296-3,840-3,92344,983πŸ”’ Member
   Debt IssuedπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Debt RepaidπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Convertible Debt RepaidπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Debt Issuance CostsπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Dividends PaidπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Share RepurchasesπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Share IssuanceπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Lease Principal PaymentsπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Minority Interest DistributionsπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
Other
   Taxes PaidπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
   Interest PaidπŸ”’ Member2,356730630518πŸ”’ Member
   Effect Of Exchange Rate On CashπŸ”’ Member0000πŸ”’ Member
Summary
   Net Change In CashπŸ”’ Member-8,475-22,841-47,277-52,344πŸ”’ Member
   Beginning CashπŸ”’ Member8,47522,84147,27752,344πŸ”’ Member
   Ending Cash-0000-
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